Brian Thomas vs Josh Downs dynasty value comparison

Compare Sleeper Agent’s standardized 1QB and Superflex dynasty values, ranks, tiers, age, team context, and production evidence for two nearby WR assets.

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SIDE BY SIDE

Public dynasty value snapshot

Position: WR
1QB gap: Sleeper Agent currently values Josh Downs 2.8 points higher in the 1QB public baseline.
Superflex gap: Sleeper Agent currently values Josh Downs 2.9 points higher in the SF public baseline.
Verdict: Model verdict: Josh Downs leads this comparison.
Updated: Oct 11, 2026

Brian Thomas

JAX · WR · Age 24

1QB64.3#67 overall · WR30

Superflex64.6#82 overall · WR30

Tier: Cornerstone (1QB) · Cornerstone (SF)

104 targets · 62 receptions · 887 yards per 17-game pace

Josh Downs

IND · WR · Age 25

1QB67.1#50 overall · WR23

Superflex67.5#69 overall · WR23

Tier: Cornerstone (1QB) · Cornerstone (SF)

113 targets · 73 receptions · 797 yards per 17-game pace

Updated Oct 11, 2026. Public values use Sleeper Agent’s local model and a fixed 12-team PPR baseline.

VALUE GAPS

Where the model currently separates them

Model verdict: Josh Downs leads this comparison.
Sleeper Agent currently values Josh Downs 2.8 points higher in the 1QB public baseline.
Sleeper Agent currently values Josh Downs 2.9 points higher in the SF public baseline.
The age gap is 1.0 years; age is evaluated on the shared WR curve rather than used as a stand-alone verdict.
Both players sit in the Cornerstone tier in 1QB.
Josh Downs ranks #50 overall in 1QB vs #67 for Brian Thomas.
Both players sit in the Cornerstone tier in Superflex.
Josh Downs ranks #69 overall in Superflex vs #82 for Brian Thomas.
Josh Downs is 1.0 years older than Brian Thomas (age 24 vs age 25). Age is evaluated on the shared WR dynasty curve rather than used as a stand-alone verdict.
Brian Thomas has paced 189.8 PPR points per 17 games vs 174.6 for Josh Downs in the blended production sample.
Josh Downs draws more receiving volume (113 targets vs 104 per 17-game pace).
Brian Thomas: 104 targets · 62 receptions · 887 yards per 17-game pace.
Josh Downs: 113 targets · 73 receptions · 797 yards per 17-game pace.
League-specific roster construction can change the practical trade decision even when one public baseline is higher.

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