SLEEPER AGENTFANTASY GMConnect Sleeper
WR DYNASTY COMPARISON

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Josh Downs dynasty value comparison

Compare Sleeper Agent’s standardized 1QB and Superflex dynasty values, ranks, tiers, age, team context, and production evidence for two nearby WR assets.

SLEEPER AGENT SAYS

Josh Downs

Model verdict: Josh Downs leads this comparison.

SIDE BY SIDE

Public dynasty value snapshot

Position
WR
1QB gap
Sleeper Agent currently values Josh Downs 3.8 points higher in the 1QB public baseline.
Superflex gap
Sleeper Agent currently values Josh Downs 3.9 points higher in the SF public baseline.
Updated
Oct 24, 2026

Brian Thomas Jr.

JAX · WR · Age 24

1QB 60.7 #90 overall · WR38
Superflex 60.9 #99 overall · WR38

Tier: Cornerstone (1QB) · Cornerstone (SF)

98 targets · 56 receptions · 796 yards per 17-game pace

Josh Downs

IND · WR · Age 25

1QB 64.5 #70 overall · WR31
Superflex 64.8 #83 overall · WR31

Tier: Cornerstone (1QB) · Cornerstone (SF)

116 targets · 73 receptions · 813 yards per 17-game pace

Updated . Public values use Sleeper Agent’s local model and a fixed 12-team PPR baseline.

HEAD TO HEAD

Value by format, visualized

1QB
Brian Thomas Jr. · 60.7
Josh Downs · 64.5
Superflex
Brian Thomas Jr. · 60.9
Josh Downs · 64.8
VALUE GAPS

Where the model currently separates them

  • The age gap is 1.0 years; age is evaluated on the shared WR curve rather than used as a stand-alone verdict.
  • Both players sit in the Cornerstone tier in 1QB.
  • Josh Downs ranks #70 overall in 1QB vs #90 for Brian Thomas Jr..
  • Both players sit in the Cornerstone tier in Superflex.
  • Josh Downs ranks #83 overall in Superflex vs #99 for Brian Thomas Jr..
  • Josh Downs is 1.0 years older than Brian Thomas Jr. (age 24 vs age 25). Age is evaluated on the shared WR dynasty curve rather than used as a stand-alone verdict.
  • Josh Downs has paced 173.7 PPR points per 17 games vs 171.5 for Brian Thomas Jr. in the blended production sample.
  • Josh Downs draws more receiving volume (116 targets vs 98 per 17-game pace).
  • Brian Thomas Jr.: 98 targets · 56 receptions · 796 yards per 17-game pace.
  • Josh Downs: 116 targets · 73 receptions · 813 yards per 17-game pace.
  • League-specific roster construction can change the practical trade decision even when one public baseline is higher.
COMMON QUESTIONS

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Josh Downs questions

Who should I keep in dynasty, Brian Thomas Jr. or Josh Downs?

Josh Downs gets the nod, leading 1QB (+3.8) and Superflex (+3.9).

Who is younger, Brian Thomas Jr. or Josh Downs?

Brian Thomas Jr. is 1.0 years younger (age 24 vs 25). On the shared WR dynasty curve, that favors Brian Thomas Jr. for longer contention windows.

Who scores more fantasy points, Brian Thomas Jr. or Josh Downs?

Josh Downs paced 173.7 PPR points per 17 games vs 171.5 — the production edge belongs to Josh Downs.

YOUR LEAGUE CHANGES THE ANSWER

Compare the players where the trade would actually happen.

Connect Sleeper to apply lineup demand, scoring, roster depth, ownership, Superflex, TE premium, and team needs.

Connect Sleeper free