Caleb Williams vs Joe Burrow dynasty value comparison

Compare Sleeper Agent’s standardized 1QB and Superflex dynasty values, ranks, tiers, age, team context, and production evidence for two nearby QB assets.

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SIDE BY SIDE

Public dynasty value snapshot

Position: QB
1QB gap: Sleeper Agent currently values Joe Burrow 0.4 points higher in the 1QB public baseline.
Superflex gap: Sleeper Agent currently values Joe Burrow 11.4 points higher in the SF public baseline.
Verdict: Model verdict: Joe Burrow leads this comparison.
Updated: Oct 11, 2026

Caleb Williams

CHI · QB · Age 24 · Questionable

1QB66.1#54 overall · QB4

Superflex82.6#25 overall · QB10

Tier: Cornerstone (1QB) · Elite (SF)

3730 pass yards · 23 pass TDs · 309.7 PPR points per 17-game pace

Joe Burrow

CIN · QB · Age 29

1QB66.5#51 overall · QB3

Superflex94.0#9 overall · QB4

Tier: Cornerstone (1QB) · Elite (SF)

4522 pass yards · 36 pass TDs · 325.4 PPR points per 17-game pace

Updated Oct 11, 2026. Public values use Sleeper Agent’s local model and a fixed 12-team PPR baseline.

VALUE GAPS

Where the model currently separates them

Model verdict: Joe Burrow leads this comparison.
Sleeper Agent currently values Joe Burrow 0.4 points higher in the 1QB public baseline.
Sleeper Agent currently values Joe Burrow 11.4 points higher in the SF public baseline.
The age gap is 5.0 years; age is evaluated on the shared QB curve rather than used as a stand-alone verdict.
Both players sit in the Cornerstone tier in 1QB.
Joe Burrow ranks #51 overall in 1QB vs #54 for Caleb Williams.
Both players sit in the Elite tier in Superflex.
Joe Burrow ranks #9 overall in Superflex vs #25 for Caleb Williams.
Joe Burrow is 5.0 years older than Caleb Williams (age 24 vs age 29). Age is evaluated on the shared QB dynasty curve rather than used as a stand-alone verdict.
Joe Burrow has paced 325.4 PPR points per 17 games vs 309.7 for Caleb Williams in the blended production sample.
Caleb Williams draws more receiving volume (1 targets vs 0 per 17-game pace).
Caleb Williams carries a Questionable tag in the current snapshot, which trims the model value.
Caleb Williams: 3730 pass yards · 23 pass TDs · 309.7 PPR points per 17-game pace.
Joe Burrow: 4522 pass yards · 36 pass TDs · 325.4 PPR points per 17-game pace.
League-specific roster construction can change the practical trade decision even when one public baseline is higher.

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