Michael Wilson vs Josh Downs dynasty value comparison

Compare Sleeper Agent’s standardized 1QB and Superflex dynasty values, ranks, tiers, age, team context, and production evidence for two nearby WR assets.

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SIDE BY SIDE

Public dynasty value snapshot

Position: WR
1QB gap: Sleeper Agent currently values Michael Wilson 3.3 points higher in the 1QB public baseline.
Superflex gap: Sleeper Agent currently values Michael Wilson 3.2 points higher in the SF public baseline.
Verdict: Model verdict: Michael Wilson leads this comparison.
Updated: Oct 11, 2026

Michael Wilson

ARI · WR · Age 26

1QB70.4#39 overall · WR18

Superflex70.7#59 overall · WR18

Tier: Cornerstone (1QB) · Cornerstone (SF)

128 targets · 77 receptions · 897 yards per 17-game pace

Josh Downs

IND · WR · Age 25

1QB67.1#50 overall · WR23

Superflex67.5#69 overall · WR23

Tier: Cornerstone (1QB) · Cornerstone (SF)

113 targets · 73 receptions · 797 yards per 17-game pace

Updated Oct 11, 2026. Public values use Sleeper Agent’s local model and a fixed 12-team PPR baseline.

VALUE GAPS

Where the model currently separates them

Model verdict: Michael Wilson leads this comparison.
Sleeper Agent currently values Michael Wilson 3.3 points higher in the 1QB public baseline.
Sleeper Agent currently values Michael Wilson 3.2 points higher in the SF public baseline.
The age gap is 1.0 years; age is evaluated on the shared WR curve rather than used as a stand-alone verdict.
Both players sit in the Cornerstone tier in 1QB.
Michael Wilson ranks #39 overall in 1QB vs #50 for Josh Downs.
Both players sit in the Cornerstone tier in Superflex.
Michael Wilson ranks #59 overall in Superflex vs #69 for Josh Downs.
Michael Wilson is 1.0 years older than Josh Downs (age 26 vs age 25). Age is evaluated on the shared WR dynasty curve rather than used as a stand-alone verdict.
Michael Wilson has paced 198.4 PPR points per 17 games vs 174.6 for Josh Downs in the blended production sample.
Michael Wilson draws more receiving volume (128 targets vs 113 per 17-game pace).
Michael Wilson: 128 targets · 77 receptions · 897 yards per 17-game pace.
Josh Downs: 113 targets · 73 receptions · 797 yards per 17-game pace.
League-specific roster construction can change the practical trade decision even when one public baseline is higher.

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